FOREX The yen falls as Japan’s negative rates are expected to persist. The Japanese yen saw a decline versus the dollar for the second consecutive day on Monday, reversing the majority of the gains made during the previous week. This decline occurred as investors anticipated a less dovish monetary policy as well as the release of U.S. inflation data and three key central bank meetings.
After the governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), Kazuo Ueda, stated that the central bank had numerous alternatives on which interest rates to target after it took short-term borrowing costs out of negative territory, the Japanese yen saw a jump on Thursday. Ueda also met with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on the same day.
According to a story that Bloomberg published on Monday, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymakers do not currently have enough evidence to support ending their ultra-loose monetary policy this month.
It is the appropriate response to have. “The statements that Ueda made the previous week were not any kind of concrete statement that they were going to end that negative interest rate,” said Helen Given, an F.X. trader at Monex USA in Washington.
The dollar reached a high of 146.50 yen and most recently traded at 146.21 yen, representing a daily increase of 0.88%. After reaching a high of 141.6 yen versus the dollar on Thursday, the yen almost entirely gave up all its gains that day.
At 104.09, the dollar’s value increased by 0.14% compared to a basket of currencies. The most recent price of the euro was $1.0757, which is close to the 24-day low seen on Friday, which was $1.0724. As a result of reaching a 15-day low of $1.2504 on Friday, the pound’s value rose by 0.19% to $1.2571.
The statistics on consumer price inflation in the United States will be released on Tuesday, and traders will look for hints about the likely direction the Federal Reserve will take its policies. In November, the headline inflation rate is anticipated to remain steady, resulting in an annual rise of 3.1%. This represents a decrease from the 3.2% increase seen in October. Both USCPNY and ECI equal each other.
On Friday, the dollar rose as the number of jobs created in November exceeded analysts’ projections. This resulted in the predictions for the first-rate drop by the Federal Reserve being pushed back to May from March.
After that, the emphasis of the markets will shift to the central banks, with Federal Reserve officials scheduled to provide their most recent economic and interest rate estimates after the two-day meeting that the United States central bank is holding on Wednesday.
In addition, it is anticipated that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will lower expectations on the likelihood of rate cuts occurring in the first half of the year.
According to Given, “His speeches, in particular since the last cycle, have focused on the fact that the remaining risk is going to be to the upside. As a result, he is still biased toward more tightening rather than this loosening that markets are starting to expect,” it was stated.
The Bank of England and the European Central Bank will determine interest rates on Thursday. Statistics indicate that deflation in China intensified in November, but the value of the Chinese yuan dropped to a level not seen in three weeks.
According to data released over the weekend, China’s consumer prices dropped at the highest rate in three years in November. At the same time, factory-gate deflation increased, indicating that deflationary pressure intensifies as weak domestic demand throws doubt on the country’s economic recovery.
On Monday, the yuan’s value collapsed to a three-week low in both the onshore and offshore markets. The onshore market’s most recent price for the yuan was 7.1773 per dollar. At $0.6565, the Australian dollar, frequently regarded as a liquid proxy for the yuan, declined by 0.21%.
Comment Template